Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.587228 1.722559 1.865978 2.029615 2.211546 2.408057 2.636968
2026-01-11 1.399211 1.587405 1.798243 2.053227 2.354935 2.702627 3.136635
2026-01-18 1.274549 1.493655 1.749410 2.072592 2.473768 2.960262 3.602352
2026-01-25 1.175557 1.413419 1.700288 2.075889 2.560878 3.174641 4.024224
2026-02-01 1.076234 1.320855 1.623752 2.032007 2.576642 3.291037 4.321012
2026-02-08 1.000114 1.249638 1.565833 2.003113 2.603798 3.417801 4.636318
2026-02-15 0.941449 1.195557 1.524394 1.990013 2.647216 3.565432 4.989963
2026-02-22 0.910616 1.175121 1.524645 2.031423 2.766689 3.826695 5.533552
2026-03-01 0.864935 1.131259 1.489417 2.019241 2.806252 3.972027 5.911391
2026-03-08 0.818713 1.083612 1.445455 1.990433 2.817343 4.072853 6.225260
2026-03-15 0.765699 1.023487 1.380218 1.925643 2.768196 4.074623 6.372976
2026-03-22 0.738910 0.998829 1.363877 1.931754 2.827378 4.250568 6.831876
2026-03-29 0.717167 0.980775 1.356753 1.952311 2.912367 4.478295 7.413380
2026-04-05 0.697560 0.964740 1.351550 1.975188 3.002394 4.721885 8.053166
2026-04-12 0.678293 0.948077 1.344210 1.993708 3.085829 4.960470 8.711961
2026-04-19 0.656614 0.926624 1.328212 1.996862 3.142788 5.156251 9.310316
2026-04-26 0.625686 0.889704 1.286399 1.955051 3.118609 5.202009 9.608790
2026-05-03 0.600271 0.860082 1.254470 1.927514 3.117007 5.288343 10.000742
2026-05-10 0.579931 0.837412 1.232374 1.915027 3.140985 5.424291 10.515487
2026-05-17 0.572149 0.833940 1.240625 1.954495 3.261881 5.757923 11.514361
2026-05-24 0.554074 0.813411 1.220217 1.942885 3.286711 5.902645 12.099102
2026-05-31 0.533841 0.788640 1.191751 1.915428 3.279402 5.980906 12.535850
2026-06-07 0.507944 0.753853 1.145348 1.853657 3.202097 5.907547 12.591919